The UFC continues its run at APEX in Las Vegas on Saturday with 10 fights and another Heavyweight main event, between No. 4-ranked contender Jairzinho Rozenstruik and No. 7 Ciryl Gane.
The preliminary card starts at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN+, and the main card begins at 8 p.m. ET.
The cage at APEX (25-foot diameter) is about 30% smaller in terms of square footage than a regular UFC octagon (30-foot diameter), and consequently, the finish rate is roughly 10% higher.
Over the three UFC shows to start the year on Fight Island (30-foot cage), 21 of the 35 fights (60%) went the distance. Since returning to APEX, just 16 of the 34 fights (47%) have gone the distance in the three cards.
If you are new to this piece, or this sport, note that in addition to moneylines and over/unders, there are numerous ways to bet on an MMA fight — including exact winning methods, winning round props, and whether or not the match will go to a decision or finish inside the distance.
As a result, after examining all of the betting options, your typical UFC card can offer a substantial amount of actionable value.
Check out the betting odds for Saturday’s UFC card, with analysis and picks for each fight below.
Odds as of Friday evening and via DraftKings
Below, you can find my fair odds moneyline projection for each of Saturday’s 10 bouts. In the next section, you’ll discover forecasts for those fights to finish inside the distance or for each